Getting the time dimension right

If you are developing or using security metrics, it’s inevitable that you’ll have to deal with the dimension of time. “Data” tells you about the past. “Security” is a judgement about the present. “Risk” is a cost of the future, brought to the present. The way to marry these three is through social learning processes.

On Uncertain Security

One of the reasons I like climate studies is because the world of the climate scientist is not dissimilar to ours.  Their data is frought with uncertainty, it has gaps, and it might be kind of important (regardless of your stance of anthropomorphic global warming, I think we can all agree that when the climate [...]

Why I’m Skeptical of “Due Diligence” Based Security

Some time back, a friend of mine said “Alex, I like the concept of Risk Management, but it’s a little like the United Nations – Good in concept, horrible in execution”. Recently, a couple of folks have been talking about how security should just be a “diligence” function, that is, we should just prove that [...]

Everybody complains about lack of information security research, but nobody does anything about it

There has been a disconnect between the primary research sectors and a lack of appropriate funding in each is leading to decreased technological progress, exposing a huge gap in security that is happily being exploited by cybercriminals. No one seems to be able to mobilize any signficant research into breakthrough cyber security solutions. It’s been very frustrating to see so much talk and so little action. This post proposes one possible solution: Information Security Pioneers Fellowship Program (ISPFP), similar to Gene Spafford’s proposal for a Information Security and Privacy Extended Grant (ISPEG) for academic researchers.

Why I Don’t Like CRISC, Day Two

Yesterday, I offered up a little challenge to suggest that we aren’t ready for a certification around understanding information risk.  Today I want to mention why I think this CRISCy stuff is dangerous. What if how we’re approaching the subject is wrong?  What if it’s mostly wrong and horribly expensive? I’m going to offer that [...]

Doing threat intelligence right

To improve threat intelligence, it’s most important to address the flaws in how we interpret and use the intelligence that we already gather. Intelligence analysts are human beings, and many of their failures follow from intuitive ways of thinking that, while allowing the human mind to cut through reams of confusing information, often end up misleading us.

For Blog/Twitter Conversation: Can You Defend “GRC”?

Longtime readers know that I’m not the biggest fan of GRC as it is “practiced” today.  I believe G & C are subservient to risk management. So let me offer you this statement to chew on: “A metric for Governance is only useful inasmuch as it describes an ability to manage risk” True or False, [...]

Can quantitative risk estimation serve as a guide for every-day policy decisions?

A methodology is presented for guiding individual policy decisions from a risk management perspective, using a form of “abduction validation”. An example is presented using the case of password change policy, drawing from recent blog discussions.

Miscommunicating risks to teenagers

A lesson in miscommunication of risk from “abstinence only” sex education aimed at teenagers. The educators emphasize the failure rate of condoms, but never mention the failure rate of abstinence-only policies when implemented by teenagers.

For Those Not In The US (or even if you are)

I’d like to wish US readers a happy Thanksgiving. For those outside of the US, I thought this would be a nice little post for today: A pointer to an article in the Financial Times, “Baseball’s love of statistics is taking over football“ Those who indulge my passion for analysis and for sport know that [...]