Monthly Archive for May, 2009

Secret Questions

Congratulations to Stuart Schechter, A. J. Bernheim Brush (Microsoft Research), Serge Egelman (Carnegie Mellon University). Their paper, “It’s No Secret. Measuring the Security and Reliability of Authentication via ‘Secret’ Questions” has been Slashdotted. It’s really good research, which Rob Lemos covered in “Are Your “Secret Questions” Too Easily Answered?

Definitions: cloudenfreude

cloudenfreude — Feeling of happiness at watching the discomfort of others, especially senior management, as they accept in aggregate for *aaS the same risks which were easily accepted piecemeal over time for the analgous service internally.

First International Alternative Workshop on Aggressive Computing and Security

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Thinking security can not be done without adopting a preferential mode of
thought of the attacker. A system cannot be defended if we do not know how to attack it. If the theory is still an interesting approach to formalize things, the operational approach must be the ultimate goal: to talk about security is meaningless if we do not actually do security. In recent years the major security conferences in the subjects preferred to select papers according to fashion topics, conforming to something like orthodoxy and organize selection as beauty contests. As a result excellent yet unorthodox scientific papers areoften rejected and sink into oblivion.

The first international Alternative Workshop in Aggressive Computing and
Security (iAWACS’09) aims to focus on this vision and to allow researchers and specialists to present relevant research works, with interesting results and operational (theoretical and/or applied) in the field of security. The different points of view, away from unconventional fashion and orthodoxy are particularly welcome. The aim is also to promote discussion of ideas around these topics.

Looks interesting! The submission deadline for the First International Alternative Workshop on Aggressive Computing and Security is July 15th.

PCI Data Available

Interesting information was made available today from VISA about PCI Compliance status for Level 1, 2, and 3 merchants.  Find it as a .pdf >>here<< (thanks to Mike Dahn for bringing it to our notice).

**UPDATE** You may want to check out what Pete Lindstrom has done with that data, in his Blog Post, “Is PCI Working?”

Richard Bejtlich’s Quantum State

Is Statistically Mixed?

Richard Bejtlich (whom I do admire greatly in most all of his work) just dug up a dead horse and started beating it with the shovel, and I just happen to have this baseball bat in my hands, and we seem to be entangled together on this subject, so here goes:

I think Richard Bejtlich’s current post about precision and risk assessment is mostly right on.  In it, Richard gives us a long quote from Charlie Munger of Berkshire Hathaway.  I happen to think Munger is totally awesome, and agree with him completely in what he’s saying there.  Funny thing is, I think Richard and I are deriving different knowledge based on that same information (which is just dripping heavy with irony given Richard’s choice of post title).

See, I don’t think you should infer what I think you’re meant infer from Richard’s blog post.  So with no ill will or malice intended towards Richard, let’s have some fun and discover why I think that!

“Men With Spreadsheets” Is Not (just?) A Neo-New Wave Band

First, Munger is basically repeating the Buffet line of “beware of geeks with spreadsheets”.  Which is a concept, in loose analogy here, is similar to saying to someone traveling down the highway at 70 miles an hour “beware of drivers in cars”.  Spreadsheets are the basic common denominator in business language.  Be it a simple monthly budget, the much maligned Value At Risk, or some large scale interrelated financial exercise, the information on the spreadsheets are simply the language into which we we abstract our world in order to make decisions (1).    Munger describes Man With Spreadsheet Syndrome.  Munger says the trouble starts when financial analysts start to say, “Since I have this really neat spread sheet it must mean something…”

Having seen so many bad InfoSec risk models in the past several years, I can only agree with Charlie.  Beware.  As most of the time the, spreadsheets aren’t the problem.  It’s the quality of information on them, or the fact that someone tries to extrapolate more knowledge from the results of a model than they should. But more on Munger and what he really believes, in his own words, below.

Accuracy vs. Precision, The Art vs. Science Information Security Zombie Meme, and WAGing Sciences

“if it is impossible to deduce a wave equation strictly logically, then the formal steps carrying on to it, are, as a matter of fact, only witty guesses” (Max Born)”

Like a National Socialists or some Libertarians or NeoConservatives do in the political spectrum from left to right, Physics tends to bend the spectrum back on itself.  That is, like Charlie Munger intimates physics can be a very precise science.  Until you get to Heisenberg and/or Schrödinger that is, then all bets are off (or on, depending on your position of observation).  Once you hit that level, it’s kind of, well, a lot of guessing.   Very structured and at times accurate guessing, maybe even “witty”.  But if “guess” is defined as “estimate or suppose (something) without sufficient information to be sure of being correct”, then when scientists establish estimates around parameters in creating a theory or hypothesis, we might crudely call those estimates “guesses”.  It is an estimate, not the “value”.  You might say that only God *knows* the value, we mortals can only begin to understand the uncertainty around the estimate.

The Guessing Game

Now do me a favor.  Think about various fields of science, and tell me how many of those – especially given the rate of change in accepted theories over the past 250 years or so, operate even though they don’t (or didn’t in the 18th century) have sufficient information to be sure of being correct.

You know what?  Though Richard uses it like a dirty word, I’ll be happy to embrace the word “guess” at this point.  I like “hypothesis” or “theory” better, but I find that the only way to overcome manipulation of linguistic connotation is to embrace the intended insult.  And one of the reasons I’m comfortable here (besides being in such good company), is that, as anyone who has ever spent the last couple of years reading what I’ve been writing about risk and risk analysis will tell you (what is wrong with you people, anyway) I’ve been saying:

Risk is a piece of knowledge, and as such it’s not something to be found intrinsically in nature that you can engineer.  Like the concept of speed, it is a derived value that describes a combination of natural states.  Therefore, the hope in risk analysis is not precision, it’s accuracy.

One shot is precise but wrong, one shot is accurate but on target.

One shot group is precise but wrong, one shot group is not precise, but accurate.

As the diagram Jack Jones built there suggests, precision and accuracy are different subjects, different meanings, and different goals.  In fact, when I do a FAIR analysis, I use quantitative numbers intentionally *not* to provide precise posterior metrics, but to develop (hopefully accurate) imprecise scatterplots.  Again, those who know me do know that I’m really not a “quant” or a “qual” but a “visual”, someone who is comfortable with the use of different scales of measure because, as it turns out, that guessing that those physicists do?  They do it using Bayes Theorem, and Bayes (said to be a quantitative extension of Aristotelian logic) sort of warps our perceptive difference between many things, including quantitative and qualitative expression.  It might be helpful to think of it this way – we really can’t use frequentist statistics (the kind people my age would learn in undergrad classes) because we’re describing not something that occurs naturally that we can count, but something that is synthesized from nature.  Risk is a derived value around likelihood and impact.  Which is fine!  And it’s fine especially when we frame likelihood and impact in a real world notions (expected events per annum, and expected dollars lost per event, like FAIR does).  This framing in real world contexts allows us to go back and test our theories and models and revise them (you know, science).

Quantum Entanglement: Probability, Risk, Munger, & Rationality.  Or, Charlie Munger and 20 Bayesians Walk Into A Bar….

And they all come out good friends and in intellectual agreement?

So I don’t want to turn this post into too much of a primer on knowledge and nature, measurement and theory creation, but let me cover one last important Bayesian concept (it’s not really a Bayesian concept, per se, it’s just that like many things the use of numbers in Bayes helps formalize the process into something accurate).

Model Selection

In order to derive knowledge, the Bayesian must know that the model they have is the best one to use.  Thus, the concept of Bayesian model selection is really cool and very important.  Here’s a great man giving us an example of what I mean in a very pragmatic, real world sense. Do take a second and read the following:

“You’ve got to have models in your head.  And you’ve got to array your experience ? both vicarious and direct ? on this latticework of models.  You may have noticed students who just try to remember and pound back what is remembered.   Well, they fail in school and in life.  You’ve got to hang experience on a latticework of models in your head.

What are the models?  Well, the first rule is that you’ve got to have multiple models ? because if you just have one or two that you’re using, the nature of human psychology is such that you’ll torture reality so that it fits your models, or at least you’ll think it does.  You become the equivalent of a chiropractor who, of course, is the great boob in medicine.

It’s like the old saying, “To the man with only a hammer, every problem looks like a nail.”  And of course, that’s the way the chiropractor goes about practicing medicine.  But that’s a perfectly disastrous way to think and a perfectly disastrous way to operate in the world.  So you’ve got to have multiple models.

And the models have to come from multiple disciplines ? because all the wisdom of the world is not to be found in one little academic department.  That’s why poetry professors, by and large, are so unwise in a worldly sense.  They don’t have enough models in their heads.  So you’ve got to have models across a fair array of disciplines.

You may say, “My God, this is already getting way too tough.”  But, fortunately, it isn’t that tough ? because 80 or 90 important models will carry about 90% of the freight in making you a worldly ? wise person.  And, of those, only a mere handful really carry very heavy freight.

So let’s briefly review what kind of models and techniques constitute this basic knowledge that everybody has to have before they proceed to being really good at a narrow art like stock picking.

First there’s mathematics.  Obviously, you’ve got to be able to handle numbers and quantities ? basic arithmetic.  And the great useful model, after compound interest, is the elementary math of permutations and combinations.  And that was taught in my day in the sophomore year in high school.  I suppose by now in great private schools, it’s probably down to the eighth grade or so.

It’s very simple algebra.  It was all worked out in the course of about one year between Pascal and Fermat.  They worked it out casually in a series of letters.

It’s not that hard to learn.  What is hard is to get so you use it routinely almost everyday of your life.  The Fermat/Pascal system is dramatically consonant with the way that the world works.  And it’s fundamental truth.  So you simply have to have the technique.

Many educational institutions ? although not nearly enough ? have realized this.  At Harvard Business School, the great quantitative thing that bonds the first ? year class together is what they call decision tree theory.  All they do is take high school algebra and apply it to real life problems.  And the students love it.  They’re amazed to find that high school algebra works in life….

By and large, as it works out, people can’t naturally and automatically do this.  If you understand elementary psychology, the reason they can’t is really quite simple: The basic neural network of the brain is there through broad genetic and cultural evolution.  And it’s not Fermat/Pascal.  It uses a very crude, shortcut ? type of approximation.  It’s got elements of Fermat/Pascal in it.  However, it’s not good.

So you have to learn in a very usable way this very elementary math and use it routinely in life ? just the way if you want to become a golfer, you can’t use the natural swing that broad evolution gave you.  You have to learn  to have a certain grip and swing in a different way to realize your full potential as a golfer.

If you don’t get this elementary, but mildly unnatural, mathematics of elementary probability into your repertoire, then you go through a long life like a one?legged man in an ass?kicking contest.  You’re giving a huge advantage to everybody else.

One of the advantages of a fellow like Buffett, whom I’ve worked with all these years, is that he automatically thinks in terms of decision trees and the elementary math of permutations and combinations….”"

- Charlie Munger

Yes, the Charlie Munger Richard is using to try to warp into his own perspective on risk analysis.  In fact, there are even better quotes on rationality and how this ad-hoc Bayesianesque model selection Munger uses allows him to be rational and identify bias – but this post was probably TLDNR about 500 words ago, so I’ll spare you.

BACK TO RISK MANAGEMENT & RISK ANALYSIS

But if quantum mechanics isn’t physics in the usual sense — if it’s not about matter, or energy, or waves, or particles — then what is it about? From my perspective, it’s about information and probabilities and observables, and how they relate to each other.

- Scott Aaronson

But if information risk management isn’t security in the usual sense – if it’s not about vulnerabilities, threats, controls or assets – then what is it about?  From my perspective, it’s about information and probabilities and observables, and how they relate to each other.

- Alex Hutton, with all apologies to Scott who has already been famously plagiarized to heck.

Finally, there is one other proof I’d like to offer you, my rational reader, as to why I think Richard is wrong.  See, I’m kind of confused as to what “his side” of the argument represents!

The “Not Using Information To Make Decisions Side?”  The Best Suggested  Practices side?  Information Witch-Doctory?  Information Security Professionals for Really Crappy Analysis?

The problem in suggesting that you take scientific method out of risk analysis is that Information Security then becomes a faith-based initiative.  If you’re good with that, nothing I’m gonna do or say here is gonna change you.  Create your secret societies, get your handshakes down, buy yourselves hooded dresses, select your Pope or whatever, and be done with it.

If you’re not fine with understanding your job based on the innards of sheep or the positions of celestial bodies, then sign up.  We’re the New School of Information Security.  We haven’t got all the answers, but try to keep it rational and we have some ideas about what needs to be done in order to derive real scientific progress in our field.

High Falootin’ I Don’t Have Time For This Pragmatism:

So one thing I always here when talking about risk analysis is the demand it creates on our resources.  Will you, the New School practitioner, need more than a “gut” assessment?  Sometimes, sometimes not.  Like Munger whose decision making accuracy is honed by his ad-hoc Bayesianish Model Selection, once we have an accurate model, we may or may not derive value from more than “back of a napkin” risk analysis.  But the models and analysis done as we learn and apply the models do help us identify bias and become rational.  You know, those concepts the Bayesian Rationalists feast on.  Oh, and apparently Charlie Munger, too.

But honestly, the to next person that says that risk analysis is too hard but then uses CVSS2, some GRC application with an absolutely terrifying User Experience/Interface, or does an OCTAVE enterprise “so-called risk assessment” (see Richard, we can both use Newspeakishy terms in our blogs!) with its boiling the ocean threat/vulnerability pairing….  I’ll say that these things are not only less *correct* (both in formal theory and in results) than proper risk analysis, but they are much less informative when used in decision making while taking up probably the same (or less) amount of time.  Oh, you might have to practice some at first, especially sense we’ve all be ingrained with such bad perspectives on things like probability theory and risk modeling (CISSP exam, I’m looking at you).

BEATING THE BEJTLICHSUS OUT OF THAT HORSE

So Richard, please feel free to go on saying “can’t, can’t, can’t”.  I’ll just leave it with this.  I’ve said my piece.  And here out, I’d like to challenge you to start discussing what we need before you will say “can, can, can”.  Because frankly, I do get tired of repeating myself and I’m sorry if, for longtime readers, I’m repeating myself.  It’s difficult for me to understand my rate of entropy (apology for yet another and probably last semi-transparent and admittedly only semi-clever quantum physics reference in the blog post).  But these “can, can, can” sorts of discussions are those that I think we should take part in.

Meanwhile, these “can’t” discussions don’t really bother me, because I think discussion is healthy for the industry and I’m really confident that I don’t know a lot of stuff.  And ultimately, I have to not only be aware that there is a non-zero chance that some folks who don’t agree with me might turn out to be right but I feel the need to repeatedly entertain that fact (it’s an intellectual honesty thing).  So thanks for the digging up the dead horse, Richard.  I just hope it actually wasn’t simultaneously dead & alive when we started beating on it (oops, I guess my bad quantum physics reference frequency model was wrong again)!

JUST FOR YOU, DEAR READER!

Finally, let me encourage you, my friend.  Go forth with Metasploit and spreadsheet in hand, and do good things.  Create your theories, hypothesize away, and test, test, test.  Use FAIR or whatever you’d like to talk about the risk you think an asset has.  Then find information from log & event monitoring tools and other sources that help you identify Threat Event Frequency.  Have your Blue Team test the amount of “force” they apply to the assets controls before it breaks (you know, becomes a State of Vulnerability).  And be comfortable in the knowledge that, for the first time, you’re doing something unique in your field by applying the scientific method, something that the great physicists of the 20th century would probably be very proud of you for doing.

———–

(1) I’ve said before that in the current state, as long as models are valid, we put too much emphasis on the difference between qualitative and quantitative labels.   It’s like talking about the difference between oral description and visual representation – but that’s another blog post for another day.

European View on Breaches

I hadn’t seen this article by Peter Hustinix when it came out, but it’s important. He says that “All data breaches must be made public:”

The good news is that Europe’s lawmakers want to make it obligatory to disclose data breaches. The bad news is that the law will not apply to everyone. Those exemptions are in no-one’s interest, says European privacy tsar Peter Hustinx.

Hard to argue, unless you’re using vague platitudes.

The Eyes of Texas Are on Baseboard Management Controllers? WHAT??!!!

OR TEXAS HB1830S IS SWINEFLU LEGISLATION, IT’S BEEN INFECTED BY PORK!


**UPDATE:  It looks like the “vendor language” around Section Six has been struck!

Given Bejtlich’s recent promises, I thought we’d take a quick but pragmatic look at why risk assessments, even dumb, back-of-the-envelope assessments, might just be a beneficial thing.

As you probably know, the guys here at NewSchool and the guys at sister site EmergentChaos are very interested in the government regulation of cyberspace.  Oh, we also happen to be pretty good with the information risk stuff, too.  So I’m sure you wouldn’t be surprised that we spent some time looking over what one of the biggest, most influential states in the Union, Texas (Austin is also one of my most favorite places thanks to my friend Joe Visconti), is doing about legislating information security.  Currently they have a bill in consideration, HB1830S.  Highlights here:

http://www.legis.state.tx.us/tlodocs/81R/analysis/html/HB01830S.htm

HB1830S has some pretty good stuff in it.  The kind of legislation that tends to make sense, even if you are a “government hands off” kind of guy like I am.

Section 2 is about background checks and having policies and so forth.  This is wonderful, it addresses about the only control we have against Internal threat agents with significant privileges.

Section 3 seems to excuse information security information (like specific vulnerabilities) from the public record.  I’m all for some level of disclosure here (Something like the letter grades the federal government releases is fine), but really, the citizens of the state don’t need particulars.

Section 4 talks about what InfoSec information should be confidential and talks about vendor relationships.  After working on some state RFPs  (not Texas) and watching how specific requirement for a “Penetration Test” was awarded to someone who, in their RFP, specifically said that they were only going to only perform a “Vulnerability Assessment”, I appreciate these sorts of clauses.

Section 5 covers internal state reporting concerns for vuln data, great.

SECTION SIX WHAT THE !@#%^!@@#$* IS THIS???!!!

“Government Code, to require that the biennial operating plan describe the state agency’s current and proposed projects for the biennium, including how the projects will address certain matters, including using, to the fullest extent, technology owned or adapted by other state agencies, including closed loop event management technology that secures, logs, and provides audit management of baseboard management controllers and consoles of cyber assets.”

Let’s parse that and read it again:

“Government Code, to require that the biennial operating plan describe the state agency’s current and proposed projects for the biennium, including how the projects will address certain matters,…”

Looking good, it’s always nice to have a plan.

“…including using, to the fullest extent, technology owned or adapted by other state agencies,…”

Great! I’m all for sharing information among security professionals, that’s pretty much one of the fundamental pillars of the New School.

“…including closed loop event management technology that secures, logs, and provides audit management of baseboard management controllers and consoles of cyber assets.”

Wait, what?

Ok, I’ve heard of closed loop processing in Business Intelligence (A system is said to perform closed-loop processing if the system feeds information back into itself).  I’ve heard the phrase Closed-Loop in SOA.  But I’m sorry, the use of “closed loop event management technology that secures, logs, and provides audit management of baseboard management controllers” sounds like somebody lifted it from a vendor brochure.

Also, I know that this blog generally attracts some of the best and most forward thinking InfoSec readers/professionals – even if you disagree with us.  But if you need to go look up what a baseboard management controller  (BMC) is and does, to remind yourself, go right ahead.  I had to.

Now read the rest of HB1830S highlights there and put Section Six in context.

Is it just me, or does this seem like someone in Texas is trying to legislate the use of a specific vendor’s rather esoteric and specific security control?  I mean, even if BMC is really important in, say, SCADA systems – is there a reason that the dozens (?) of other agencies would have to waste their money on this?

And why legislate this specific technology?  Shouldn’t the agency security management be able to do their own risk assessments and prioritize based on the significant threats that, you know, they’re ACTUALLY SEEING?  And I’m not asking for Forests of Bayesian Belief Networks to establish risk and vulnerability information via Monte Carlo simulations here, I’m asking for a basic risk-based sanity check to make decisions, decisions based in reality, not fear.  I mean, a quick poll of Security pros on Twitter about the BMC and so far nobody has claimed to ever seen one piece of exploit code, more or less heard of an actual *incident*.  Now I’m sure that the State of Texas does a great job with Information Security and all, but I’m willing to bet good money that the BMC’s of their systems is the least of their security problems.

Bottom line, Legislating disclosure, policy, and even ensuring critical processes are in place is a useful endeavor, and the rest of HB1803 does a good job.  But legislating a specific technology is bad for a couple of reasons:

1.)  It removes management’s ability to expend resources on the actual problems they have. You are legislating without the context of risk, even poorly derived risk statements.

2.)  If it takes an act of legislature to force adoption, it will take a similar or more difficult act of politics to remove that technology when it’s outlived it’s usefulness (and one wonders if BMC securing technology would EVER be useful except in fringe cases).

Things Are Tough, Don’t Waste Taxpayer Money, Please!

HB1830S could be a good piece of legislation.  Strike the BMC aspect of Section Six and it becomes more than reasonable.  Heck, add “to the fullest extent POSSIBLE” or “to the extent that’s REASONABLE” and ask state CISO’s to provide Threat Event Metrics for the BMC if you want.  But please Texas, whatever this vendor is paying you in lobbying perks – it’s not worth the waste and hassle and the risk of derision from the parts of the Information Security community that actually happen to be concerned with public safety.

Time To Patch, Patch Significance, & Types of Cloud Computing

Recently, a quote from Qualys CTO Wolfgang Kandek struck me kind of weird when I was reading Chris Hoff yet again push our hot buttons on cloud definitions and the concepts of information security survivability.  Wolfgang says (and IIRC, this was presented at Jericho in SF a couple of weeks ago, too):

In five years, the average time taken by companies to patch vulnerabilities had decreased by only one day, from 60 days to 59 days, at a time when the number of flaws and the speed at which they are being exploited has accelerated from weeks to, in some cases, days. During the same period, the number of IP scanned on an anonymous basis by the company from its customer base had increased from 3 million to a statistically significant 80 million, with the number of vulnerabilities uncovered rocketing from 3 million to 680 million. Of the latter, 72 million were rated by Qualys as being of ‘critical’ severity.

The bold emphasis added is mine.  Because it’s not clear if Wolfgang means the speed at which exploit code arises compared to vuln. disclosure (what Qualys calls “half life”, I believe George Hulme reminds us that “Qualys Half life is the number of days after which the number of vulnerable systems are reduced by 50%.”), or the speed at which those exploits are used against Qualys client networks in a significant manner.  The latter being information of enormous value if Qualys were to release a study on it.  The former, while informative, needs to be compared to what we actually know to be the case concerning the cause of incidents. So after reading the Qualys presentation and figuring they’re talking about the former, let’s get it on, shall we?

Sample size warnings and regular disclaimers, but recent data suggests that in the case where the initial breach “vector” was an exploit against a patchable vulnerability, a very small amount in representation of the aggregate breach data available, the patch had been around for six mos. to over one year.

So given that information, let’s discuss what Chris and Wolfgang are discussing.  Concentrating on Hoff’s Bullets #’s Four and Five:

4.  While SaaS providers who do “own the entire stack” are in a better position through consolidated multi-tenancy to transfer the responsibility of patching “their” infrastructure and application(s) on your behalf, it doesn’t really mean they do it any better on an application-by-application basis.  If a SaaS provider only has 1-2 apps to manage (with lots of customers) versus an enterprise with hundreds (and lost of customers,) the “quality” measurements as it relates to management of defect (from any perspective) would likely look better were you the competent SaaS vendor mentioned in this article.  You can see my point here.

One would hope, along with Qualys, that SaaS providers would be quicker to patch, as we might deduce that SaaS vulnerabilities should be of more significance than an unpatched system within an admittedly porous perimeter.   In SaaS you have one centrally located and relatively more exposed code base used by many customers.  If we use a little FAIR as a model, FAIR says that the Probability of Threat Action is due at least in part to perceived value by the Threat Agent.  So let me ask you to consider the relative value of a SaaS installation vs. one corporate installation of the same computing purpose (like, say, Xero accounting SaaS vs. “internal” accounting packages).   Thinking of the situation in this manner, we may deduce that there might be a greater need to “patch more quickly” for a SaaS provider.  But this is a risk issue that we can only speculate about – we have to be probabilistic due to the lack of similar models for the distribution of computing resources (i.e., The Cloud Future ™).

Of course this assertion, Patch More Quickly is Best, is complicated by the existing data that suggests that the vast majority of data breaches are not due to unpatched, known vulnerabilities, but rather the use of default credentials, SQL Injection problems that were previously unknown, or misconfigured ACLs.

Regarding Hoff’s bullet Five where he says that the cloud is not just SaaS, but also Platform as a Service (PaaS) and Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS),  we could apply the same line of thinking and hazard that PaaS and IaaS aspects of “The Cloud Future ™”, deductively, should suffer the same probable frequency of loss events unless/until we cover the absolute basics of risk issue mitigation, asset and event visibility, and asset variability reduction.  In fact, we might speculate that because we’re giving up some control over visibility and variability management – that probable Loss Event Frequency should be greater, than current state, not smaller, as Qualys would have us hope.

SaaS, PaaS, or IaaS – I just can’t see things getting better until we are able to address the basic, fundamental problems of Information Security.  Rarely, if ever, does adding more complexity result in greater systematic simplicity.

Cybersecurity Review Turf Battle

Many at RSA commented on the lack of content in Melissa Hathaway’s RSA keynote. The Wall St Journal has an interesting article which may explain why, “Cybersecurity Review Sets Turf Battle:”

President Barack Obama’s cybersecurity review has ignited turf battles inside the White House, with economic adviser Lawrence Summers weighing in to prevent what he sees as a potential threat to economic growth, according to people familiar with the deliberations.

During the presidential campaign, Mr. Obama said he would appoint a cybersecurity adviser who would report directly to him on efforts to secure U.S. computer networks against spies, criminals and terrorists.

However, a White House review of cybersecurity policy has produced spirited debate on how high the adviser should rank and who should have veto power over his or her moves. A senior administration official called the debate an example of “creative tension,” adding: “Far from being concerned about creative tension, I think this president and this team welcomes it…because, quite frankly, we’ve got to get this right.”

The New School position is that we need more data about what’s really going wrong. With that more data, the fight would be less about who gets to run things than about how to fix them. Imagine addressing the recession without regularly gathered and revealed statistics about jobs, GDP and everything else the government measures and reveals.